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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.86% ( 0.23) | 22.64% ( -0.09) | 24.51% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 59.08% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.12% ( 0.29) | 40.88% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% ( 0.29) | 63.27% ( -0.28) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( 0.18) | 15.51% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.58% ( 0.34) | 44.42% ( -0.33) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( 0.05) | 30.07% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( 0.05) | 66.21% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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