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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
37.73% ( 0.27) | 24.38% ( 0.18) | 37.89% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% ( -0.85) | 42.72% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% ( -0.85) | 65.13% ( 0.85) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( -0.24) | 22.56% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( -0.37) | 56.15% ( 0.37) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.6) | 22.47% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( -0.9) | 56.02% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |