MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 15:02:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Almere City
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Jacobs (90+6')
Cathline (38'), Barbet (42'), Jacobs (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Berg (4'), Vellios (90+7')
Garcia McNulty (23'), El Azzouzi (86'), Vellios (90+3')
El Azzouzi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Almere City
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-1 PEC Zwolle

Almere have struggled making the step-up so far, and games against a similar level of opposition is where their top-flight future will be decided. Another win over struggling opposition could lift Zwolle as high as the top eight here, before there will be bigger challenges to come, so they will fancy their chances after last week's win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.

Result
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
37.73% (0.267 0.27) 24.38% (0.177 0.18) 37.89% (-0.44 -0.44)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.849 -0.85)42.72% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)65.13% (0.854 0.85)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.24400000000001 -0.24)22.56% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.367 -0.37)56.15% (0.369 0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)22.47% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.903 -0.9)56.02% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 37.73%
    PEC Zwolle 37.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.73%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Almere City vs PEC Zwolle

Almere City
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
PEC Zwolle
88.9%
9
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 7pm
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Almere City
Van den Belt (31'), Van den Berg (65'), Vellios (86')
Pascu (25'), Hilterman (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!