Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Jacobs (90+6')
Cathline (38'), Barbet (42'), Jacobs (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

van den Berg (4'), Vellios (90+7')
Garcia McNulty (23'), El Azzouzi (86'), Vellios (90+3')
El Azzouzi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Almere City
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almere City 0-1 PEC Zwolle

Almere have struggled making the step-up so far, and games against a similar level of opposition is where their top-flight future will be decided. Another win over struggling opposition could lift Zwolle as high as the top eight here, before there will be bigger challenges to come, so they will fancy their chances after last week's win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.

Result
Almere City	Draw	PEC Zwolle
37.73% ( 0.27)	24.38% ( 0.18)	37.89% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 60.04% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

-0.85)

42.72% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87% (

-0.85)

65.13% (

0.85)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

-0.24)

22.56% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

-0.37)

56.15% (

0.37)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.6)

22.47% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

-0.9)

56.02% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Almere City 37.73%

PEC Zwolle 37.89%

Draw 24.37%

Almere City	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.73%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.89%