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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
37.73% ( 0.27) | 24.38% ( 0.18) | 37.89% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% ( -0.85) | 42.72% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% ( -0.85) | 65.13% ( 0.85) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( -0.24) | 22.56% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( -0.37) | 56.15% ( 0.37) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.6) | 22.47% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( -0.9) | 56.02% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |