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Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Third Round | 1st Leg
Jun 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Emmen

Almere City
2 - 0
Emmen

Duijvestijn (65' pen., 77')
Pena (33'), Smeets (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Burnet (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between Almere City and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, June 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: Almere City 1-1 Emmen

While both teams have been in decent form in front of goal of late, they have struggled on the defensive side, so we are expecting an enthralling affair. We can also see the teams cancelling each out to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawEmmen
45.85%24.93%29.22%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55%53.44%
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86%66.13%
Score Analysis
    Almere City 45.85%
    Emmen 29.22%
    Draw 24.92%
Almere CityDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
52.9%
Draw
19.6%
Winner Semi-final 2
27.5%
51
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
gameweek 26
Almere City
0-0
Emmen

van Leeuwen (55'), Esajas (79'), Leeuwin (90+4')

Mendes (64'), Araujo (81')
Nov 29, 2021 7pm
gameweek 17
Emmen
3-0
Almere City
Assehnoun (7', 20', 52')

Arweiler (42')
Mar 25, 2018 1.30pm
Almere City
2-2
Emmen
Van der Water (16'), Valpoort (19')
Mirani (70'), Salasiwa (88')
Bilate (22'), Mirani (49' og.)
Bijl (66')
Nov 17, 2017 7pm
rhs 2.0
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