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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | Feyenoord |
18.54% ( 0.2) | 21.14% ( 0.7) | 60.32% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( -2.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.28% ( -2.92) | 41.72% ( 2.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.88% ( -3.01) | 64.12% ( 3.01) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% ( -1.51) | 36.12% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% ( -1.57) | 72.9% ( 1.57) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.58% ( -1.18) | 13.42% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.63% ( -2.42) | 40.36% ( 2.42) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.54% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.61) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.84) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 6.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.23) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.24% Total : 60.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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