Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
5 - 1
Emmen

Mijnans (13'), van Brederode (15'), Beukema (23', 28'), Clasie (45+1')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Zivkovic (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: West Ham 2-1 AZ
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Emmen

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 0-3 FC Twente
Sunday, May 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

With one eye on their continental commitment, AZ could elect to rest several key players for this weekend's contest, but they should still have enough about themselves to secure all three points in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Emmen
75.01% ( -0.03)	15.65% ( 0.01)	9.33% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.31% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.36% (

-0.04)

37.64% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.12% (

-0.04)

59.87% (

0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.51% (

-0.02)

8.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.57% (

-0.04)

29.43% (

0.03)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.79% (

-0)

47.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36%

82.64% (

-0)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 75%

Emmen 9.33%

Draw 15.65%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Emmen
2-0 @ 12.18% 3-0 @ 10.02% 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 75%	1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 15.65%	0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 9.33%