UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 0
Anderlecht

(agg: -)

Pavlidis (5' pen., 13')
Milos (29'), Reijnders (29'), Pavlidis (40'), Mijnans (80'), Clasie (114')

FT
(aet)

Diawara (32'), Amuzu (55')

AZ win 4-1 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Anderlecht

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Genk 5-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Anderlecht (Anderlecht to win 3-2 on aggregate)

We expect AZ Alkmaar to come out fighting in front of an expectant AFAS Stadion crowd, but Anderlecht should be able to limit the damage and reach the semi-finals thanks to their first-leg efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 1-2 (5.35%).

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Anderlecht
59% ( -0)	21.09% ( 0)	19.91% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.63% (

39.37% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.29% (

61.71% (

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.94%

13.06% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.36% (

-0)

39.64% (

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

33.32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

69.94% (

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 59%

Anderlecht 19.91%

Draw 21.09%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Anderlecht
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 6.72% 3-0 @ 6.12% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 3.42% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.6% Total : 59%	1-1 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 5.45% 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.09%	1-2 @ 5.35% 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.91%