UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Lotto Park

Anderlecht
1 - 1
Villarreal

(Anderlecht win 2-1 on aggregate)

Dreyer (57')
Riemer (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Trigueros (28')
Trigueros (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Anderlecht and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Gent 1-0 Anderlecht
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Anderlecht 1-2 Villarreal

Having struggled at Lotto Park in recent times – winning just three of their last 12 home games in all competitions – Anderlecht look set to suffer another defeat on Thursday, with Villarreal likely to score at least twice en route to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Anderlecht	Draw	Villarreal
38.41% ( -0.01)	24.87% ( -0)	36.71% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92%

45.08% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

67.42% (

-0)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

-0.01)

23.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81% (

-0.01)

57.18% (

0.01)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

24.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

0.01)

58.47% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Anderlecht 38.41%

Villarreal 36.71%

Draw 24.87%

Anderlecht	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.41%	1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.71%