UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Lotto Park

Anderlecht
2 - 0
AZ

(agg: -)

Murillo (22'), Ashimeru (70')
Refaelov (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Beukema (31'), Pavlidis (42'), Reijnders (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Anderlecht and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Anderlecht 0-0 Westerlo
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: AZ 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Anderlecht 1-0 AZ Alkmaar

While AZ Alkmaar have failed to win any of their last three games, Anderlecht have won four of their previous five, keeping five clean sheets in the process. With that in mind, we expect the hosts to achieve another shutout victory on Thursday, securing an important first-leg advantage to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
Anderlecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
36.51% ( 0.1)	25.31% ( -0.01)	38.18% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 56.65% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.92% (

0.06)

47.08% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.68% (

0.06)

69.32% (

-0.06)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81% (

0.09)

25.19% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.08% (

0.12)

59.92% (

-0.12)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

-0.02)

24.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.35% (

-0.03)

58.65% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Anderlecht 36.51%

AZ Alkmaar 38.18%

Draw 25.3%

Anderlecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.51%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.18%