Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 30

Mar 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
0 - 2
Anderlecht

Mendyl (32'), Al Tamari (62'), Schrijvers (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Slimani (33' pen.), Arnstad (90')
Ashimeru (59'), Diawara (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Anderlecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions

Last Game: Charleroi 0-1 Leuven
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Anderlecht

All competitions

Belgian Pro League

Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Anderlecht
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Anderlecht
30.14% ( 0.28)	24.61% ( -0.01)	45.25% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

0.18)

45.67% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

0.17)

67.99% (

-0.17)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

0.28)

28.41% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

0.35)

64.17% (

-0.35)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

-0.05)

20.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

-0.08)

52.63% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Leuven 30.14%

Anderlecht 45.25%

Draw 24.6%

Leuven	Draw	Anderlecht
2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.14%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.25%