Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2023 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), van Brederode (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van den Buijs (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Anderlecht (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Wednesday, April 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 RKC Waalwijk

Given their hectic fixture schedule, AZ will not be as sharp as they could be for this fixture. However, they should still have too much quality in their ranks for RKC, whose inconsistency seems likely to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
78.33% ( 0.01)	13.97% ( -0)	7.7% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.1% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.8% (

0.01)

35.2% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.79% (

0.01)

57.21% (

-0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.78% (

7.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.81% (

26.19% (

-0.01)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.77%

49.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.88% (

-0)

84.12% (

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 78.32%

RKC Waalwijk 7.7%

Draw 13.97%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 12.27% 3-0 @ 10.75% 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.01% 5-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% 6-0 @ 1.63% 6-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.01% Total : 78.32%	1-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 13.97%	0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.7%