Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.