Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg

May 31, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

NAC Breda
1 - 2
Emmen

(Emmen win 4-1 on aggregate)

Omgba (90+4')
Garbett (36')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Burnet (24'), Romeny (39')
Zivkovic (86'), Diemers (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between NAC Breda and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Last Game: MVV 1-4 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Emmen

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Emmen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

With the form book very much in NAC Breda's favour, they have the momentum ahead of trying to upset the odds on Wednesday. However, we feel that Emmen's superior quality will ultimately shine through to give themselves the best chance of finishing the job in the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Emmen
48.63% ( -0.44)	23.79% ( 0.24)	27.58% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

-0.97)

43.53% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.07% (

-0.96)

65.93% (

0.97)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

-0.54)

18.04% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.07% (

-0.94)

48.93% (

0.94)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.36)

29.13% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0.45)

65.05% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 48.63%

Emmen 27.58%

Draw 23.78%

NAC Breda	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.63%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.58%