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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.54%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
75.54% | 15.67% | 8.78% |
Both teams to score 45.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.35% | 39.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% | 62% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% | 8.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.68% | 30.32% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.22% | 49.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.49% | 84.5% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 12.95% 1-0 @ 10.68% 3-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-0 @ 6.35% 4-1 @ 4.43% 5-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.54% 6-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.76% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 7.45% 0-0 @ 4.41% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.67% | 0-1 @ 3.08% 1-2 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |