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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.54%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
75.54% | 15.67% | 8.78% |
Both teams to score 45.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.35% | 39.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% | 62% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% | 8.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.68% | 30.32% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.22% | 49.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.49% | 84.5% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 12.95% 1-0 @ 10.68% 3-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-0 @ 6.35% 4-1 @ 4.43% 5-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.54% 6-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.76% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 7.45% 0-0 @ 4.41% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.67% | 0-1 @ 3.08% 1-2 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |