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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
55.44% | 22.24% | 22.31% |
Both teams to score 57.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.51% | 41.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% | 63.88% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.14% | 14.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.8% | 43.19% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% | 32.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.24% | 68.76% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |