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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
55.44% | 22.24% | 22.31% |
Both teams to score 57.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.51% | 41.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% | 63.88% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.14% | 14.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.8% | 43.19% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% | 32.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.24% | 68.76% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |