Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
