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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
36.86% (![]() | 24.23% (![]() | 38.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.01% (![]() | 41.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.6% (![]() | 64.4% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% (![]() | 22.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% (![]() | 56.32% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% (![]() | 21.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.24% (![]() | 54.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 8.27% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 11.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |