Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
We said: Heerenveen 2-1 Heracles
With two of the Eredivisie's leakiest defences going head-to-head, we are anticipating an exciting clash with chances at both ends. That said, we just about fancy the hosts to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.68% . A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.3% and a draw had a probability of 22% .
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.58%) . The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result Heerenveen Draw Heracles 55.68% ( 0.66) 22.02% ( -0.31) 22.3% ( -0.36)
Both teams to score 58.42% ( 0.57)
59.52% ( 0.98) 40.48% ( -0.97)
37.14% ( 0.99) 62.86% ( -0.99)
85.56% ( 0.55) 14.44% ( -0.55)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.61% ( 1.05) 42.39% ( -1.05)
68.28% ( 0.23) 31.72% ( -0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.86% ( 0.26) 68.14% ( -0.26)
Heerenveen 55.68%
Heracles 22.3%
Draw 22.01%
Heerenveen Draw Heracles 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.68% 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.01% 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.3%
How you voted: Heerenveen vs Heracles
10
rhs 2.0
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