Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 12, 2021 at 1.30pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
2 - 1
Heracles

Openda (31', 49' pen.)
Manhoef (56'), Buitink (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laursen (22')
de la Torre (48'), Schoofs (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Vitesse have been far from their best on home turf so far but will be expected to come away with all three points in this one nonetheless. We are tipping them to emerge triumphant in what should be a keenly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Heracles
64.91%	21.13%	13.95%

Both teams to score 45.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06%

49.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07%

71.93%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35%

14.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.21%

42.79%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.02%

46.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.53%

82.47%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 64.9%

Heracles 13.95%

Draw 21.13%

Vitesse	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.22% Total : 64.9%	1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.13%	0-1 @ 5.2% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 0.95% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.95%