Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
We said: Heracles 0-3 Feyenoord
Heracles have the home advantage, and that should lead to them providing some problems for their opponents.
However, Feyenoord should have more than enough quality to get through this particular match to take three points to aid their title challenge.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.49% . A win for Heracles had a probability of 19.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-3 (7.33%) . The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%) . The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result Heracles Draw Feyenoord 19.27% ( -1.87) 19.24% ( -0.76) 61.49% ( 2.63)
Both teams to score 63.73% ( -0.36)
68.59% ( 0.9) 31.41% ( -0.9)
47.13% ( 1.06) 52.87% ( -1.06)
70.77% ( -1.14) 29.23% ( 1.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.82% ( -1.43) 65.18% ( 1.43)
90.04% ( 0.93) 9.96% ( -0.93)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 67.07% ( 2.1) 32.93% ( -2.1)
Heracles 19.27%
Feyenoord 61.49%
Draw 19.24%
Heracles Draw Feyenoord 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.02% Total : 19.27% 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.24% 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 7.33% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.22% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 3.43% ( 0.35) 2-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.21) 0-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.22) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 61.49%
How you voted: Heracles vs Feyenoord
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rhs 2.0
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