Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
62.66% ( 0.24) | 20.4% ( -0.04) | 16.94% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.94% ( -0.18) | 41.05% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.55% ( -0.19) | 63.44% ( 0.18) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.47% ( 0.01) | 12.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.45% ( 0.03) | 38.55% ( -0.03) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% ( -0.35) | 37.54% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% ( -0.35) | 74.32% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 62.65% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 16.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |