![AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar](https://sm.imgix.net/19/10/azlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ1 - 0Legia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Legia
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-2 Legia Warsaw
Both sitting second domestically and capable of scoring from all angles, two confident sides will convene for what could be another Group E thriller on Thursday night. With home advantage in their favour and lots of recent European experience behind them, AZ can just edge Legia out and join them on three points apiece in the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
62.84% (![]() | 19.66% (![]() | 17.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% (![]() | 36.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.31% (![]() | 58.69% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.88% (![]() | 11.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.45% (![]() | 35.54% (![]() |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% (![]() | 34.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% (![]() | 70.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 62.84%
Legia Warsaw 17.5%
Draw 19.66%
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.84% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 17.5% |
How you voted: AZ vs Legia
AZ Alkmaar
67.3%Draw
23.1%Legia Warsaw
9.6%52
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-20 15:15:55
Thursday, June 20
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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