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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
41.13% ( 0.47) | 23.98% ( 0.52) | 34.89% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 61.2% ( -2.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( -2.74) | 41.08% ( 2.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.52% ( -2.85) | 63.47% ( 2.85) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.8% ( -0.94) | 20.2% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% ( -1.54) | 52.51% ( 1.53) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -1.78) | 23.31% ( 1.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% ( -2.66) | 57.25% ( 2.66) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 18 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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