MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:18:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
PEC Zwolle

PSV
4 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Lozano (5'), Til (28'), de Jong (57'), Tillman (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia McNulty (40'), Thomas (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 PEC Zwolle

With the visitors having impressed of late, this has effectively become a free pass to try to shock the leaders. However, we do not anticipate any Dutch team defeating PSV for the foreseeable future and it would come as a surprise if the home side do not cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
72.68% (-0.88 -0.88) 15.28% (0.392 0.39) 12.04% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.97% (-0.634 -0.63)27.03% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.48% (-0.806 -0.81)47.52% (0.811 0.81)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.52% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)6.48% (0.3009 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.79% (-0.82799999999999 -0.83)24.21% (0.833 0.83)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.28400000000001 0.28)34.83% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.298 0.3)71.56% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 72.68%
    PEC Zwolle 12.04%
    Draw 15.28%
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.17% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.56% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.68%
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.095 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 2.38% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 12.04%

Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
PEC Zwolle
1-2
PSV
Kastaneer (16')
Redan (86')
Bruma (11'), Ledezma (73')
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
3-1
PEC Zwolle
Ramalho (84'), Gakpo (86'), Boscagli (89')
Boscagli (76')
Redan (3')
Pabai (53'), Tedic (76'), De Wit (77')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
PSV
4-2
PEC Zwolle
Mous (22' og.), Malen (29'), Vertessen (34'), Zahavi (54')
Pherai (69'), Lagsir (90')
Bajselmani (42'), Olivier Doue (52'), Lam (66')
Oct 18, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
PEC Zwolle
0-3
PSV

Huiberts (43'), van Polen (57')
Gotze (9'), Gakpo (18'), Malen (39')
Rosario (61'), Sangare (86')
Dec 21, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 18
PSV
4-1
PEC Zwolle
Hendrix (18'), Ihattaren (26'), Bruma (51'), Gakpo (72')
Viergever (60')
Saymak (12')
Dekker (8'), van Crooij (43'), Paal (68'), Thy (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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