Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.