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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 4.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
86.79% ( 0.56) | 8.74% ( -0.33) | 4.48% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.72% ( 0.67) | 21.28% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.1% ( 0.92) | 39.89% ( -0.91) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.79% ( 0.19) | 3.21% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.76% ( 0.61) | 14.24% ( -0.61) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% ( -0.23) | 47.65% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% ( -0.18) | 82.98% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
3-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 7-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 6-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.45% Total : 86.78% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.83% Total : 8.74% | 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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