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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
51.99% ( 0.01) | 23.01% ( -0) | 25% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.89% ( 0.01) | 42.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.49% ( 0.02) | 64.51% ( -0.02) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.74% ( 0.01) | 16.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.21% ( 0.02) | 45.79% ( -0.02) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% | 30.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( 0) | 66.52% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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