

Arsenal4 - 0PSV
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
38.56% (![]() | 24.44% (![]() | 37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% (![]() | 43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% (![]() | 65.4% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.3% (![]() | 55.7% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% (![]() | 23.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% (![]() | 56.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.5% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.56% | 1-1 @ 11.31% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 37% |
How you voted: Arsenal vs PSV



