Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.81%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.