MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:51:02| >> :60:39:39:
Arsenal logo
Club Friendlies
Jul 27, 2023 at 4.06am UK
Masafi Stadium
Barcelona logo

Arsenal
5 - 3
Barcelona

Saka (13'), Havertz (43'), Trossard (55', 78'), Vieira (89')
Trossard (27'), Havertz (36'), White (41')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Lewandowski (7'), Raphinha (34'), Torres (88')
Araujo (37')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's friendly clash between Arsenal and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Arsenal and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's friendly clash with Barcelona.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Man Utd (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Next Game: Arsenal vs. Monaco
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Barcelona

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Next Game: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid
Saturday, July 29 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Arsenal 2-1 Barcelona

 Barcelona will arguably enter Thursday's clash as slight underdogs considering that they could be under-strength against an almost fully-fit Arsenal side. The Gunners will be eager to return to winning ways in front of their American fanbase, and we can see Arteta's side taking advantage of Barca's expected lack of sharpness to claim a narrow win in California. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.8%) and 2-0 (5.07%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBarcelona
40.61% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1) 22.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 36.79% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 66.86% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.15% (-0.25 -0.25)33.84% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.3% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)55.69% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.148 -0.15)17.39% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-0.255 -0.26)47.8% (0.249 0.25)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.07% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33% (-0.147 -0.15)50.66% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 40.61%
    Barcelona 36.79%
    Draw 22.59%
ArsenalDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.8% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.79%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Barcelona

Arsenal
59.2%
Draw
12.0%
Barcelona
28.8%
184
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2019 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Barcelona
2-1
Arsenal
Maitland-Niles (69' og.), Suarez (90')
Alba (23'), Wague (67'), Lenglet (74')
Aubameyang (36')
Papastathopoulos (74'), Guendouzi (92')
Mar 16, 2016 7.45pm
Round-Of-16
Barcelona
3-1
Arsenal
> Match Report
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
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