Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.