Making the net ripple is never normally where Sevilla's issues lie - their misfortune can be often be traced back to a lack of defensive discipline - and such vulnerabilities are there for the PSV juggernaut to expose as the Dutch side aim to snap their horrendous away run in the Champions League.
Los Palanganas could and probably should have left Eindhoven with all three points in October, and we can envisage the hosts being punished for their late collapse in that game, as PSV condemn Sevilla to a third-placed finish at the very best while doing all they can to seal an early qualification.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
-0.26) 
0.33) 
