MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 01:40:49| >> :60:438:438:
PSV
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Sevilla logo

PSV
2 - 2
Sevilla

de Jong (86' pen.), Teze (90+5')
Veerman (27'), Lozano (90+1'), de Jong (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gudelj (68'), En-Nesyri (87')
Navas (36'), Bade (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-1 Volendam
Saturday, September 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Sevilla

While there has been a notable uptick in Sevilla's performances in the last few weeks, PSV's record at home is formidable, and they have begun this season exceptionally well. We expect a high-quality match between these sides but feel the hosts will come out on top at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSevilla
69.44% (0.12 0.12) 16.76% (-0.434 -0.43) 13.8% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 60.41% (2.771 2.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.97% (3.013 3.01)30.03% (-3.016 -3.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.77% (3.548 3.55)51.23% (-3.551 -3.55)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.18% (0.78399999999999 0.78)7.82% (-0.787 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.24% (1.967 1.97)27.75% (-1.97 -1.97)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (2.469 2.47)34.46% (-2.472 -2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (2.546 2.55)71.17% (-2.549 -2.55)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 69.44%
    Sevilla 13.8%
    Draw 16.76%
PSV EindhovenDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-1 @ 7.92% (0.135 0.14)
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.929 -0.93)
4-1 @ 5.05% (0.272 0.27)
4-0 @ 4.74% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.341 0.34)
4-2 @ 2.69% (0.311 0.31)
5-1 @ 2.57% (0.23 0.23)
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.063 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.204 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.09% (0.135 0.14)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.065 0.07)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 69.44%
1-1 @ 7.32% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.223 0.22)
0-0 @ 2.7% (-0.484 -0.48)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.76%
1-2 @ 3.9% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: PSV vs Sevilla

PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Sevilla
PSV Eindhoven
68.3%
Draw
17.5%
Sevilla
14.2%
183
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 2nd Leg
PSV
2-0
Sevilla
De Jong (77'), Silva (90+5')
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Sevilla
3-0
PSV
En-Nesyri (45+2'), Ocampos (50'), Gudelj (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth29128948361244
10Fulham2811984138342
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Everton2971393236-434
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!