We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Sevilla
While there has been a notable uptick in Sevilla's performances in the last few weeks, PSV's record at home is formidable, and they have begun this season exceptionally well. We expect a high-quality match between these sides but feel the hosts will come out on top at the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.