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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Almeria

Sevilla
5 - 1
Almeria

En-Nesyri (7'), Lukebakio (8'), Suso (38'), Lamela (51'), Salas (90+2')
Navas (70'), Suso (83'), Lamela (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Suarez Charris (71' pen.)
Fernandes (77'), Baba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, September 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Valencia
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-0 Almeria

 Sevilla are yet to really get going this season, but they will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this contest, including a win over Las Palmas in their last home league match. Almeria are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are just backing a narrow Sevilla win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAlmeria
54.46% (-3.379 -3.38) 23.34% (1.115 1.12) 22.21% (2.271 2.27)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (-1.987 -1.99)46.49% (1.993 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-1.894 -1.89)68.77% (1.901 1.9)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-1.852 -1.85)16.97% (1.859 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (-3.395 -3.4)47.06% (3.402 3.4)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (1.11 1.11)35.16% (-1.102 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (1.141 1.14)71.91% (-1.133 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 54.45%
    Almeria 22.21%
    Draw 23.34%
SevillaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.398 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.451 -0.45)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.614 -0.61)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.381 -0.38)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.45 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.153 -0.15)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.56 0.56)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.487 0.49)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.678 0.68)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.454 0.45)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.44 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.213 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 22.21%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Almeria

Sevilla
70.0%
Draw
27.1%
Almeria
2.9%
70
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Ocampos (45+2' pen.), Lamela (73')
Akieme (2')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Almeria
2-1
Sevilla
Ramazani (42'), Sadiq (55')
Eguaras (33'), Fernandes (71'), de la Hoz (78'), Baptistao (84'), Samu (90+1')
Torres (30')
Lamela (12'), Rekik (15'), Mir (45'), Navas (47'), Angel Carmona (70'), Isco (78'), Delaney (80'), Telles (83')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Almeria
0-1
Sevilla

Corpas (69'), Chumi (81')
Ocampos (67')
Lopetegui (90')
> Preview
May 17, 2015 6pm
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Iborra (65', 71')
Bifouma (30')
Corona (60'), Ruben (68'), Partey (73'), Dubarbier (83')
Trujillo (75')
> Match Report
Jan 11, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-2
Sevilla

Partey (20')
Iborra (58'), Coke (63')
Vidal (16')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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