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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Almeria

Cadiz
1 - 1
Almeria

Hernandez (59')
Fede (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandes (90+5')
Puigmal (9'), Moreno (10'), Gonzalez (27'), Suarez Charris (72'), Ramazani (90')
Gonzalez (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Cadiz
Sunday, August 20 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 2-1 Almeria

Both matches between the two sides last season finished 1-1, and we were close to going for that scoreline once again here. Cadiz have shown promising signs in the early stages of the new campaign, though, and we are backing the home side to navigate their way to all three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAlmeria
39.68% (0.443 0.44) 27.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 33.31% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.108 0.11)54.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.09 0.09)76.02% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.297 0.3)26.97% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.386 0.39)62.31% (-0.382 -0.38)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)30.82% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.243 -0.24)67.09% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 39.68%
    Almeria 33.31%
    Draw 27.01%
CadizDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Almeria

Cadiz
74.0%
Draw
20.0%
Almeria
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Almeria
1-1
Cadiz
Melero (90+7' pen.)
Marti (49')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Cadiz
1-1
Almeria
Perez (83')
Melero (40')
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 30
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Almeria
0-0
Cadiz
Brice Eteki (17'), Carlos (21'), Martos (31'), Saveljich (90')
Ramos (35'), Lekic (42'), Mari (60')
Mari (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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