La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
3 - 3
Almeria

Puado (13'), Pierre-Gabriel (49'), Koleosho (73')
Olivan (30'), Montes (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bilal Toure (10'), Embarba (58', 87' pen.)
Pozo (30'), Samu (45'), Ramazani (87'), Melero (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Valladolid
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Espanyol 1-1 Almeria

Almeria have won just one of their 18 away league games this season, and with Espanyol unbeaten in three matches, we think that the visitors will have to be content with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Almeria
48.6% ( 0.1)	25.43% ( -0.05)	25.97% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.33% (

0.19)

51.67% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.55% (

0.16)

73.45% (

-0.17)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73% (

0.12)

21.27% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.8% (

0.19)

54.19% (

-0.19)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.32% (

0.06)

34.67% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

0.07)

71.4% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 48.6%

Almeria 25.97%

Draw 25.42%

Espanyol	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.6%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.97%