La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
3 - 0
Mallorca

Lazaro (12', 42', 58')
Ely (7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kang-in (67'), Hadzikadunic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 3-1 Almeria
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is a really tough match to call, as both sides are in need of the points at this stage of the season for very different reasons. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared on Saturday in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Mallorca
44.21% ( 0.17)	28.24% ( 0.01)	27.54% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 44.62% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.98% (

-0.11)

61.02% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.99% (

-0.08)

81.01% (

0.08)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

0.04)

27.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01% (

0.05)

62.99% (

-0.05)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

-0.21)

38.46% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

-0.2)

75.21% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Almeria 44.21%

Mallorca 27.54%

Draw 28.23%

Almeria	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 44.21%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.54%