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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Mallorca logo

Almeria
3 - 0
Mallorca

Lazaro (12', 42', 58')
Ely (7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kang-in (67'), Hadzikadunic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Osasuna 3-1 Almeria
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Mallorca

All competitions
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Mallorca

 This is a really tough match to call, as both sides are in need of the points at this stage of the season for very different reasons. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared on Saturday in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawMallorca
44.21% (0.166 0.17) 28.24% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 27.54% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 44.62% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (-0.106 -0.11)61.02% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-0.081 -0.08)81.01% (0.077999999999989 0.08)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)27.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.206 -0.21)38.46% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.198 -0.2)75.21% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 44.21%
    Mallorca 27.54%
    Draw 28.23%
AlmeriaDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 13.65% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.054 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 44.21%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Almeria vs Mallorca

Almeria
50.0%
Draw
32.6%
Mallorca
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 1pm
gameweek 6
Mallorca
1-0
Almeria
Maffeo (25')
Ruiz de Galarreta (5')
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 26
Mallorca
2-0
Almeria
Prats (44' pen.), Sevilla (69')
Ruiz de Galarreta (31'), Sevilla (80'), Olivan (90+2'), Baba (90+4')

Maras (43'), Makaridze (44'), Balliu (45+2'), Samu (50'), Villar (64')
Dec 3, 2020 6pm
gameweek 16
Almeria
0-1
Mallorca

Chumi (5'), Sadiq (21'), de la Hoz (25'), Centelles (51')
Prats (90+1')
Sanchez (36'), Baba (39'), Ruiz de Galarreta (87')
May 19, 2019 11am
gameweek 39
Mallorca
1-0
Almeria
Sevilla (75')
(0')
Jan 6, 2019 11am
gameweek 20
Almeria
2-0
Mallorca
Gimenez (45' pen.), Carlos (71')
Corpas (28'), Romera (29')

Pedraza (25'), Raillo (63'), Estupinan (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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