La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

May 1, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Kang-in (58')
Raillo (15'), Muriqi (17'), Maffeo (29'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+4')
Raillo (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (90+6' pen.)
Berchiche (40'), Williams (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Sevilla
Thursday, April 27 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic have one of the stronger away records in the division this season, but Mallorca have also been strong at home, losing just four of their 15 matches. It would not be a shock to see a home victory or a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Athletic will secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
18.84% ( 0.64)	27.15% ( 0.58)	54% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 38.96% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.27% (

-1.08)

63.73% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17% (

-0.78)

82.99% (

0.78)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.27% (

0.12)

48.73% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.24% (

0.09)

83.76% (

-0.08)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-1)

24.01% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73% (

-1.46)

58.26% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 18.84%

Athletic Bilbao 54%

Draw 27.14%

Mallorca	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.84%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 16.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.9% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 54%