We said: Real Betis 2-1 Mallorca
Mallorca have made a habit of gleefully derailing numerous top-six sides this season; Aguirre's scrappers have beaten Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Villarreal (twice) this term.
However, the island side have lost each of their last five away games - a streak Betis may well extend this weekend, but not without a fight from the battling islanders.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Betis.