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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Mallorca

De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nastasic (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Mallorca

Mallorca come into the fixture with confidence having won consecutive games, and their fine record versus Atletico should give encouragement. Atletico will be the favourites but they have flattered to deceive on many occasions this season, and with the season winding down without much to play for, this could be an awkward tie for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
69.3% (-0.872 -0.87) 19.89% (0.237 0.24) 10.81% (0.638 0.64)
Both teams to score 39.96% (1.397 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.661 0.66)51.97% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.568 0.57)73.71% (-0.565 -0.56)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)13.94% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.59% (-0.117 -0.12)41.4% (0.118 0.12)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.43% (1.656 1.66)53.57% (-1.655 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.99% (1.009 1.01)87.01% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.29%
    Mallorca 10.81%
    Draw 19.89%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 14.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 14.49% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.175 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.69% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 69.29%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.81%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
83.2%
Draw
12.4%
Mallorca
4.4%
113
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 14
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (16')

Molina (15')
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
gameweek 6
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Monday, June 24
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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