La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Mallorca
Mallorca come into the fixture with confidence having won consecutive games, and their fine record versus Atletico should give encouragement.
Atletico will be the favourites but they have flattered to deceive on many occasions this season, and with the season winding down without much to play for, this could be an awkward tie for them.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3% . A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result Atletico Madrid Draw Mallorca 69.3% ( -0.87) 19.89% ( 0.24) 10.81% ( 0.64)
Both teams to score 39.96% ( 1.4)
48.02% ( 0.66) 51.97% ( -0.66)
26.28% ( 0.57) 73.71% ( -0.56)
86.06% ( -0.06) 13.94% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.59% ( -0.12) 41.4% ( 0.12)
46.43% ( 1.66) 53.57% ( -1.65)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 12.99% ( 1.01) 87.01% ( -1.01)
Atletico Madrid 69.29%
Mallorca 10.81%
Draw 19.89%
Atletico Madrid Draw Mallorca 1-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 69.29% 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.89% 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.81%
How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Draw
Mallorca
113
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-15 22:17:24
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