La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Centelles (90+2')
Ely (68'), Pozo (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (9'), de Marcos (56')
Sancet (21'), Zarraga (65'), Berenguer (90'), Vesga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Almeria have picked up as many home points this season as Villarreal, with their hopes of staying in the league likely to depend on their form at home. Athletic are on a roll at the moment, winning three of their last four, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared during a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
20.93% ( -0)	25.17% ( 0.02)	53.9% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.67% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

-0.06)

55.14% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

-0.05)

76.39% (

0.05)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

-0.03)

41.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

-0.03)

77.85% (

0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.03)

20.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

-0.05)

52.92% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Almeria 20.93%

Athletic Bilbao 53.89%

Draw 25.17%

Almeria	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.93%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.89%