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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Athletic Bilbao logo

Almeria
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Centelles (90+2')
Ely (68'), Pozo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (9'), de Marcos (56')
Sancet (21'), Zarraga (65'), Berenguer (90'), Vesga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 Almeria have picked up as many home points this season as Villarreal, with their hopes of staying in the league likely to depend on their form at home. Athletic are on a roll at the moment, winning three of their last four, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared during a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawAthletic Bilbao
20.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.17% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 53.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.67% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)55.14% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.39% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)41.33% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (-0.032 -0.03)77.85% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.46% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)52.92% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 20.93%
    Athletic Bilbao 53.89%
    Draw 25.17%
AlmeriaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.54% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 20.93%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 13.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 53.89%

How you voted: Almeria vs Athletic Bilbao

Almeria
12.1%
Draw
18.2%
Athletic Bilbao
69.7%
33
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
gameweek 7
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Almeria
Williams (10'), Sancet (17'), Williams (62'), Vesga (84' pen.)
Alvarez (37')
Mar 21, 2015 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Almeria
Etxeita (9'), Rico (26')
Gomez (19'), Laporte (85')
Balenziaga (47' og.)
Dubarbier (13'), Velez (48'), Soriano (80'), Hemed (90'), Partey (93')
Velez (91')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Almeria
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Partey (13'), Verza (71')
Etxeitia (56')
Iraloa (54')
> Match Report
May 18, 2014 5pm
Almeria
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Azeez (74')

Moran (17'), Etxebarria (32'), Balenziaga (35'), Laporte (56'), Herrera (90')
> Match Report
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Athletic Bilbao
6-1
Almeria
Mikel Rico (6'), Herrera (11'), Laporte (30'), Aduriz (52'), Gomez (68', 86' pen.)
San Jose (34'), Mikel Rico (63')
Barbosa (34')
Torsiglieri (36')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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