La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Barcelona

Williams (30'), Zarraga (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raphinha (45+1')
Roberto (76')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Barcelona

Barcelona should be fresh entering this match, having not been involved in a midweek fixture, while the returns of Gavi and Lewandowski are key for the Catalan side. Athletic are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will shade this game on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
31.06% ( -0.14)	26.16% ( -0.06)	42.78% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 52.45% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1% (

0.19)

51.9% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

0.16)

73.65% (

-0.16)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

-0)

30.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

-0)

67.22% (

-0)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

0.18)

24.07% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65% (

0.26)

58.35% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 31.06%

Barcelona 42.78%

Draw 26.16%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 31.06%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 42.78%