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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Athletic Bilbao logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Griezmann (73')
Gimenez (33'), De Paul (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (33'), Alvarez (54'), Vivian (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, February 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

 This is a tough match for Atletico, and Athletic will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result in Sunday's affair. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a draw in Madrid, but we just have a feeling that Atletico will have enough quality to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
49.22% (-0.69 -0.69) 26.24% (-0.117 -0.12) 24.54% (0.807 0.81)
Both teams to score 47.76% (1.106 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (1.04 1.04)55.82% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.839 0.84)76.95% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.133 0.13)22.73% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (0.19499999999999 0.19)56.4% (-0.196 -0.2)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (1.327 1.33)38.19% (-1.327 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (1.254 1.25)74.95% (-1.254 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 49.23%
    Athletic Bilbao 24.54%
    Draw 26.23%
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.213 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Atletico vs Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid
70.8%
Draw
21.3%
Athletic Bilbao
7.9%
89
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Atletico
Griezmann (47')
Simeone (11')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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