La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 1
Getafe

Correa (60')
Koke (57'), Niguez (81'), Depay (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Unal (83' pen.)
Dakonam (2'), Portu (34'), Alena (45+2'), El Haddadi (90+5'), Alvarez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 0-1 Betis
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Getafe

Atletico have been utterly dominant in this fixture in recent years, and it is therefore very difficult to back against a home win. Getafe's recent form has also played a major role in this prediction, and we are ultimately backing Atletico to collect all three points in comfortable fashion this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
71.74% ( 0.93)	18.99% ( -0.51)	9.27% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 37.28% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.57% (

0.79)

52.43% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.89% (

0.68)

74.11% (

-0.68)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.65% (

0.52)

13.34% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.77% (

1.05)

40.22% (

-1.05)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.02% (

-0.42)

56.97% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.97% (

-0.24)

89.02% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 71.73%

Getafe 9.27%

Draw 18.99%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
2-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 15.31% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 71.73%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.99%	0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.37% Total : 9.27%