Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.