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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Cadiz logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 1
Cadiz

Sancet (10', 35', 75'), Alvarez (44')
Berchiche (30')
Berchiche (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Escalante (25')
Hernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Cadiz

On paper, Athletic are the favourites in this match, but it is difficult to ignore their recent struggles when picking a result here. Cadiz have drawn two of their last five league matches, and we believe that the visitors will have enough resilience to avoid defeat at San Mames on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCadiz
65.57% (1.513 1.51) 21.59% (-0.421 -0.42) 12.84% (-1.091 -1.09)
Both teams to score 41.15% (-1.559 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.523 -0.52)53.9% (0.523 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.44 -0.44)75.35% (0.441 0.44)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.25% (0.325 0.33)15.75% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.14% (0.59500000000001 0.6)44.86% (-0.595 -0.59)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.85% (-2.045 -2.05)51.15% (2.046 2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.55% (-1.414 -1.41)85.44% (1.415 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 65.56%
    Cadiz 12.84%
    Draw 21.59%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.89% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 13.76% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-0 @ 8.48% (0.443 0.44)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.245 0.25)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 65.56%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 3.35% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 12.84%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Cadiz

Athletic Bilbao
63.6%
Draw
27.9%
Cadiz
8.6%
140
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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