La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 1
Cadiz

Sancet (10', 35', 75'), Alvarez (44')
Berchiche (30')
Berchiche (57')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Escalante (25')
Hernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Cadiz

On paper, Athletic are the favourites in this match, but it is difficult to ignore their recent struggles when picking a result here. Cadiz have drawn two of their last five league matches, and we believe that the visitors will have enough resilience to avoid defeat at San Mames on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Cadiz
65.57% ( 1.51)	21.59% ( -0.42)	12.84% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 41.15% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1% (

-0.52)

53.9% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0.44)

75.35% (

0.44)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.25% (

0.33)

15.75% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.14% (

0.6)

44.86% (

-0.59)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.85% (

-2.05)

51.15% (

2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.55% (

-1.41)

85.44% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 65.56%

Cadiz 12.84%

Draw 21.59%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.56%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.59%	0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.29% Total : 12.84%