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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Atletico


Aidoo (4'), Veiga (8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Depay (89')
Mandava (41'), Simeone (72'), Molina (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 3-4 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are difficult to back with any real confidence at the moment, with the Red and Whites finding it difficult to show their best form. We are not expecting Simeone's side to lose, but Celta are not being beaten at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in Vigo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.3% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.2% (0.17 0.17) 50.5% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-0.569 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-0.693 -0.69)56.65% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.561 -0.56)77.62% (0.56099999999999 0.56)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (-0.48 -0.48)39.81% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52% (-0.444 -0.44)76.48% (0.44399999999999 0.44)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.325 -0.33)22.51% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.487 -0.49)56.08% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 23.3%
    Atletico Madrid 50.5%
    Draw 26.19%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 13.36% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 9.96% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.5%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
20.2%
Draw
22.8%
Atletico Madrid
57.0%
114
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Hermoso (16')
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Celta Vigo
0-2
Atletico

Beltran (41'), Nolito (63'), Aspas (83')
Suarez (6'), Carrasco (90+5')
Hermoso (17'), Costa (37'), Felipe (71'), Herrera (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona55001741315
2Atletico MadridAtletico532092711
3Real Madrid532092711
4Villarreal5320118311
5AlavesAlaves631297210
6Athletic Bilbao631286210
7Celta Vigo5302131039
8Real BetisBetis52215418
9Mallorca62224408
10Rayo Vallecano52127617
11GironaGirona52128807
12Espanyol52125507
13Osasuna5212610-47
14Sevilla612358-35
15Leganes612337-45
16Real Sociedad611437-44
17Real ValladolidValladolid5113213-114
18Getafe503224-23
19Las PalmasLas Palmas5023610-42
20Valencia5014310-71


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