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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Girona logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Girona

Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
de Marcos (14'), Alvarez (45'), Garcia (78'), Valverde (78'), Muniain (85'), Paredes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Garcia (4'), de Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Castellanos (16'), Bueno (28'), Martinez (36'), Romeu (72'), Gazzaniga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Girona

 Girona deserve a lot of respect for their performance level in La Liga this season, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result here. Michel's team are not strong travellers, while Athletic have been impressive at home this season, so we are backing a victory for Valverde's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Girona had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
63.78% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 22.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.19% (0.025 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (0.023999999999994 0.02)52.95% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (0.02 0.02)74.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.54% (0.052999999999997 0.05)48.45% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (0.038 0.04)83.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 63.77%
    Girona 14.19%
    Draw 22.02%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 14.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 63.77%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona

Athletic Bilbao
86.5%
Draw
7.9%
Girona
5.6%
89
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Girona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (67'), Martin (75')
Guruzeta (78')
Berchiche (35')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
> Match Report
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
Feb 4, 2018 5.30pm
Girona
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (7' pen., 65')
Maffeo (46')

Nunez (58')
Sep 10, 2017 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Girona
Muniain (25'), Aduriz (53')
Benat (21'), Garcia (64'), San Jose (68'), Laporte (91')

Alcala (24'), Granell (27'), Espinosa (40'), Aday (56'), Luiz (80'), Stuani (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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