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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Almeria

Girona
6 - 2
Almeria

Castellanos (8'), Tsygankov (34'), Riquelme (36'), Hernandez (43'), Martin (77'), Stuani (79')
Garcia (59')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Ramazani (66'), Bilal Toure (81')
Suarez Charris (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Girona and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Girona
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Betis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-1 Almeria

 Girona have been strong at home this season, collecting 18 points from 11 matches, and they will be welcoming an Almeria side who have lost seven of their 10 games on their travels. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Girona will navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawAlmeria
54.17% (0.425 0.42) 25.19% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.63% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (-0.252 -0.25)55.52% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.204 -0.2)76.7% (0.199 0.2)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.5% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (0.116 0.12)52.98% (-0.121 -0.12)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (-0.554 -0.55)41.86% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (-0.484 -0.48)78.31% (0.48 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Girona 54.16%
    Almeria 20.63%
    Draw 25.19%
GironaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 13.59% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.63%

How you voted: Girona vs Almeria

Girona
72.0%
Draw
16.9%
Almeria
11.0%
118
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 6pm
Almeria
3-2
Girona
Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Herrera (5')
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona

Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')

Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
Jun 2, 2021 8pm
Girona
3-0
Almeria
Joel Barcenas (3'), Couto (5'), Sylla (65')
Juanpe (52'), Franquesa (54')

Balliu (27'), Ramazani (30'), Makaridze (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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