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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Almeria

Valencia
2 - 2
Almeria

Kluivert (48'), Gaya (65')
Cavani (45'), Almeida (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chumi (54'), Portillo (74')
Melero (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-4 Valencia
Wednesday, January 18 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Almeria

Almeria have the worst away record in La Liga this season, picking up just two points from eight matches. Valencia have lost four of their nine league fixtures at Mestalla, but we are just siding with Los Che in this encounter, backing Gattuso's side to pick up an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAlmeria
56.33% (0.568 0.57) 23.85% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 19.82% (-0.56 -0.56)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.828 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.661 -0.66)51.41% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.58 -0.58)73.22% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)18.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)49.01% (0.061 0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)40.37% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (-0.901 -0.9)76.99% (0.902 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 56.32%
    Almeria 19.82%
    Draw 23.85%
ValenciaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 56.32%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 19.82%

How you voted: Valencia vs Almeria

Valencia
77.5%
Draw
20.0%
Almeria
2.5%
120
Head to Head
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
Almeria
2-3
Valencia
Partey (9'), Soriano (37')
Manuel Casado (68'), Silva (75')
Otamendi (28'), Feghouli (45'), Paco (80')
Barragan (34'), Parejo (69'), Feghouli (75'), Gaya (86'), Fuego (92')
Parejo (89')
Jan 17, 2015 5pm
Valencia
3-2
Almeria
Parejo (11'), Rodrigo (28'), Negredo (83')
Orban (57'), De Paul (86')
Hemed (13', 33')
Partey (40'), Dubarbier (81')
Mar 27, 2014 9pm
Almeria
2-2
Valencia
Diaz (53', 56')
Corona (9'), Parreu (25'), Trujillo (38'), Diaz (56'), Antonio Verza (86')
Keita (2'), Vargas (34')
Fuego (64'), Pereira (90')
Oct 30, 2013 7pm
Valencia
1-2
Almeria
Jonas (33')
Torsiglieri (61'), Vidal (70')
Dubarbier (20'), Barbosa (28'), Pellerano (35'), Nelson (83'), Suso (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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