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Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Valencia logo

Sporting Gijon
0 - 4
Valencia

FT(HT: 0-3)
Cavani (10', 39'), Kluivert (21'), Lino (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Sporting Gijon and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Valencia

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Valencia (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

We said: Sporting Gijon 1-2 Valencia

 Having managed to overcome Rayo Vallecano in the previous round, Sporting Gijon will have every confidence that they can cause another upset. However, we are backing Valencia to bounce back from their recent poor form to give their campaign the injection of encouragement that it requires. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawValencia
35.47% (0.7 0.7) 26.93% (-0.195 -0.2) 37.6% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 51.1% (0.684 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.831 0.83)54.12% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.69 0.69)75.54% (-0.693 -0.69)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.84699999999999 0.85)29.15% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (1.032 1.03)65.08% (-1.035 -1.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.10199999999999 0.1)27.87% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.128 0.13)63.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 35.46%
    Valencia 37.59%
    Draw 26.93%
Sporting GijonDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.59%

How you voted: Sporting Gijon vs Valencia

Sporting Gijon
24.7%
Draw
18.3%
Valencia
57.0%
93
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2019 8.30pm
Round of 16
Valencia
3-0
Sporting Gijon
Mina (66', 76'), Torres (89')
Wass (21'), Diakhaby (41'), Coquelin (42')

Blackman (18'), Noblejas (51'), Durdevic (78')
Jan 8, 2019 8.30pm
Round of 16
Sporting Gijon
2-1
Valencia
Noblejas (34'), Blackman (79')
Jimenez (32')
Parejo (45')
Vezo (36')
Mar 11, 2017 12pm
Valencia
1-1
Sporting Gijon
El Haddadi (85')
Orellana (2'), Zaza (19'), Mangala (50')
Cop (60')
Cases (29'), Pereira (49'), Cop (76'), Cuellar (79'), Torres (91')
Oct 16, 2016 5.30pm
Sporting Gijon
1-2
Valencia
Castro (41')
Ait-Atmane (23'), Cop (45'), Mere (64'), Burgui (76'), Amorebieta (90')
Suarez (7', 65')
Bakkali (80')
Jan 31, 2016 3pm
Valencia
0-1
Sporting Gijon
Sanabria (50' pen.)
Hernandez (59'), Vranjes (70')
rhs 2.0
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